10: The Bills are a 4.5-point home favorite across the board Monday morning for this third matchup with the rival Patriots. As we all should be aware, extreme cold does not signifantly imact scoring and Over/Under results. The point spread is down from Bills -4.5 to -3.5/-4 and the total is down from 43.5 to 42.5. 11: The betting numbers have ticked down for this AFC East rivalry with the weather forecast for Buffalo calling for temperatures in single-digits. According to DraftKings, 65% of their spread bets and 74% of that handle is on the home favorite Bills. The total got as low as 42.5 at some shops Tuesday, but has bumped back up to 44/44.5. 12: After dropping to Bills -3.5/-4 on Tuesday, the point spread for Saturday's big game in Buffalo jumped back up to -4.5 on Wednesday. DraftKings is reporting 63% of the side wagers and 70% of the side handle on the home favorites, while 67% of the Over/Under bets and 55% of that handle is on the Over. 14: As of Friday morning, the point spread for Saturday evening's game in Buffalo is at Bills -4 with a total of 44. As of Saturday afternoon, DraftKings is reporting 60% of their spread bets taken and 62% of their handle on the Bills. Frigid temperatures are still expected tonight at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, so we'll see where the forecast drives bettors as we get closer to kickoff. 15: It's game day and the industry consensus as of early afternoon is Bills -4.5 with a total of 43.5. Patriots at Bills odds Opening lineīills -4, Over/Under 43.5 Why the line moved The Over/Under for Saturday's postseason matchup opened at 48.5 points. Cincinnati slapped Las Vegas 32-13 as a 2.5-point road favorite back in Week 11 with that game playing Under the 51-point total. Online bookies were first to post a line on this Wild Card contest, opening the Bengals as 6-point home chalk while mainstream operators opened with -6.5 (-104). 10: After an insane finale on Sunday Night Football, the Raiders travel to Cincinnati for the opening game of the postseason.
As for the total, that number was all over the board Sunday night but has leveled off at 49.5 points with the Over juiced to -115. Early Covers Consensus data shows 55% of picks on the home side.
10: The market consensus is Cincinnati -6.5, however, FanDuel sportsbooks are hanging Bengals -6 (-115) in the 24 hours since opening this Wild Card Round matchup. The total is sitting at 49 or 49.5 depending on your book. Books took early heavy action on the road Raiders after the betting numbers were first released. 11: The market has settled down from Bengals -6.5 to -5.5 on Tuesday. The total can be had anywhere from 48.5 to 49.5, but the consensus right now is right on 49. 12: The market consensus is still Bengals -5.5 on Wednesday morning, but there are a few books, including DraftKings, that are offering -5. The total has also dropped from an opening number of 49.5 to as low as 48.5. DraftKings sportsbooks are reporting 62% of tickets on Cincinnati and 72% of the handle, yet this spread continues to slim. Our Covers Consensus shows split action on this postseason opener, with 51% of picks on the home side. DraftKings is dealing Cincinnati -5 while the bulk of operators are at Bengals -5.5. 13: The Raiders have been the popular pick early on, dragging this AFC Wild Card spread from an opener of Las Vegas +6.5 to as low as +4.5 at FanDuel sportsbooks as of Thursday morning. The total continued it's downward trend Friday morning - after hitting as high as 49.5 on Monday the Over/Under is down to 48. 14: The bulk of sportsbooks still have the point spread for this Saturday Wild Card contest at Bengals -5.5, with a few (including DraftKings) still dealing a -5.
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